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Around SBN: Jerry Sandusky's Wife Tries To Run A Reporter Over

7/12/09 Sunday Night Links . . . Gets Real.

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53 DAYS!

Lotsa catching up to do.  Here goes:

Star-divide

HT on many of these, as always, to the fantastic Spartan Sports Page.  Have a good week, everyone.

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That shirt

Now that’s what I call a deathbacker.

Seriously, we need to get that field legal.

Light a man a fire, he'll stay warm for a day.
Light a man afire, he'll be warm for the rest of his life.

by Seer on Jul 12, 2009 10:41 PM CDT reply actions  

Toughest sked and Phil Steele

“O RLY? Phil Steele projects our schedule as the tenth toughest in the country for 2009”

I love Phil Steele — he’s the best there is in the preseason mag biz — but there’s a few things he does poorly. Underselling the value of good coaching is one, over-selling the value of recruiting is another, absurdly over-selling Notre Dame is always the case, and strength of schedule is another.

In his 2008 publication, with Cal joining ND in the OOC and Ohio State on the conference slate, he called MSU #13 toughest. Probably pretty accurate as things turned out and a good indication that the 9-4 record was a very nice finish when grading on that curve. But this year, with CMU taking the place of Cal and no Ohio State, we move UP in schedule strength to #10?

I think Western Michigan and CMU are both quality teams, but it’s silly to stack either one up against a road trip to Cal and a homestand in a monsoon against a Fla Atlantic team that was good enough to beat CMU in a bowl game.

Imagine last year’s team playing this year’s schedule against last year’s version of those same opponents, and you probably get an 11-2 finish in 2008 (no loss to OSU or Cal, but still get blasted by PSU and lose to Georgia.) This year’s schedule is NOTHING in comparison to last year.

BTW: Combining Phil’s blindspots (over-value of ND, schedule strength and coaching) gets you fun results. Last year, he said ND had the #67 toughest sked coming off a 3-9 year and “this year the Irish are on top of my most improved list.”

Okay… They barely crested .500 after beating mighty Hawaii in a bowl game, got shut out by Boston College and provided Syracuse with only its second win against a 1-A opponent. If Michigan hadn’t hired Rich Rod, they’d probably be 5-7 with no bowl at all. Gee, who was at the bottom of the “most improved list”?

And yet, this year, he projects ND to have the #36 toughest sked and now they are a “…darkhorse National Title contender.”

What’s changed? They still have the laughably over-rated Charlie Weis, the schedule is tougher, and they could barely stay above water with a below average slate of competition last year.

I’m not sure anyone does schedule strength well. Phil is the best there is, but he has the same problem.

MSU is a slightly improved team playing what is probably a nicely dumbed down schedule after a tough one last year. It’s no sin. Everybody does it. Enjoy.

by Ken Braun on Jul 12, 2009 11:17 PM CDT reply actions  

Thanks for the comment

I do think that #10 is overrating our schedule a bit (especially with a down year in the conference). I used that to illustrate how our schedule isn’t “weak.” And FWIW, with ND improved, and playing Central and Western instead of FAU and Eastern, I think a decent argument can be made that our OOC is more difficult this season than last, even without Cal.

"Do not cheat your team or your teammates. Know your plays. Block. Protect. Add to what we are trying to do."
The Only Colors

by LVS on Jul 12, 2009 11:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm disgusted by the Out of Conference schedule.

Aside from ND, I’ve been disgusted by the OOC schedule since it was announced.

Montana State: There is never any reason to schedule I-AA teams. Ever. As opponents, they don’t get us any national respect for our schedule, plus beating them doesn’t count for bowl eligibility. Finally, since the divisions were created in 1978 we were one of five teams never to play a I-AA school (which got us some national respect). Why come off that list?

Central & Western Michigan: At least they had the good sense to move the WMU game back to campus (who set that up, George Perles, in a dream Motor City Bowl match up preview?). Playing two directional Michigan MAC schools instead of one? No matter how good they are, playing two MAC will not get us any national respect from the pollsters and OOC coaches. These are two games that we will be “expected” to win and again no matter how good these teams actually are…losing to them would be catastrophic for our season and any national respect we have built up under Dantonio. SOS anybody?

No out of conference games against a BCS conference (yes, ND is a BCS school…but I think recently it is more helpful to play another BCS conference team). Unacceptable.

I’m also not a big fan of playing Western during the B10 season.

In the future, we should schedule a non BCS conference school (WAC. MWC, Sunbelt) followed by our annual MAC matchup, ND, then we should schedule a mid level BCS conference team (Miss St., K State, Kentucky, Cinn for example) followed by the B10 season. In years where we don’t have ND…Alabama and WVU are nice replacements.

Much as we hate to admit it, national rankings are based on reputation, this OOC schedule won’t help our national reputation.

Wins+National reputation=National Rankings=National TV exposure=Better recruits=Better teams=B10/National titles.

by MSULaxer27 on Jul 13, 2009 12:21 AM CDT reply actions  

OOC and $$$

OOC games are on the sked to make money. If you pay Montana St to visit your 76k seat stadium and fill it up, they’ll do it for cheap, you get to keep most of the cash, and they won’t ask for a return visit to their house. Thus, in future years, you can sked more OOC games at home and get even more money.

Like it or not, so long as you can fill up a good-sized house, this is how strong college football programs are built.

FWIW: Alabama – unranked to open the season – nearly made the national title game last year on the “strength” of an OOC that included Western Kentucky, Tulane, Arkansas St and a very disappointing Clemson. In fact, they advanced from #2 to #1 in the polls after blanking Arky St 35-0.

There are many other examples. Small school OOCs on the sked are just th way the world works today.

by Ken Braun on Jul 13, 2009 7:32 AM CDT reply actions  

Ah…But Alabama is in the mighty SEC, the “toughest” conference in the nation.

This site: http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/pre_season_congrove_rankings.html
has us going 12-0 and not getting a sniff of the national title game. The way reputation is now we could go 12-0 and have an 11-1 USC and 11-1 Florida go to the National Championship ahead of us.

by MSULaxer27 on Jul 13, 2009 6:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thank you for the kind word

…for Spartan Sports Page. And Neitzel will be in France, assuming he doesn’t stick with the NBDL.

by Spartan Sports Page on Jul 13, 2009 5:44 PM CDT reply actions  

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