Dance, Bear, Dance: Michigan State 71, Iowa 53
MSU wins in Iowa City in a 63 possession game. After the UT-Arlington game a few weeks ago, KJ wrote:
As I indicated in the game preview, my enthusiasm for in-depth analysis of games against lower-tier nonconference opponents has waned. At this point, I don't think you want to read too much into the results of a game like this one.
While yesterday was a conference road game, and thus infinitely more important than a home game against a non-con tomato can, can we really read all that much more into this one? Iowa is pretty clearly the worst team in the conference, and probably worse than Indiana was last season. Furthermore, while MSU has had all kinds of difficulties at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in recent years, calling yesterday's crowd in Iowa City "lethargic" would probably be charitable.
With that in mind, a look at the four factors reveals the meh-ness of yesterday's performance:
The reasons why this game wasn't closer are clear: we shot the ball relatively well (eFG of 59.2%; season average is 54.9%), and rebounded very well on both the offensive and defensive ends. Unfortunately, yesterday's negative stat probably outweighs the positive ones: 18 turnovers, and a 28.6% turnover rate. (Iowa opponents average only a 18.2 TO%). This certainly had more to do with Izzo's sour post-game mood than anything else:
"The turnovers [are] something that's been haunting us the entire year, and as a coach I think I have to take responsibility for that," Izzo said. "It doesn't seem to be changing, which means I must not be doing my job. So that's gonna be a point of emphasis this week."
Needless to say, this team's turnover propensity certainly isn't as egregious as that of the '02-'04 post-Marcus Taylor malaise teams, and turnover-prone MSU teams from the past have still managed to be relatively successful. But . . . this certainly isn't what we expected from a a veteran-laden team.
Onto the positive: Draymond Green is grabbing most of the headlines, and rightly so. Green's fourth double-double (14 points, 11 rebounds) of the season came in only 19 minutes of play, and included 6 points in his first 2 minutes of first-half action. All four of his offensive rebounds resulted in baskets, and he added four assists as well. Chris Allen hit two big 3-pointers, and Kalin Lucas bounced back from a tough game against Wisconsin: 14 points (including 6-6 from the line), 4 assists, and only 2 turnovers.
All difficulties aside, MSU has now won 10 of 11 conference road games, a figure we would have killed for only two seasons ago. The game was never in question after a 21-6 run to begin the second half, and while this could never be considered a sterling performance, the defense generally played well, we were able to spread minutes around, and . . . hey, the view from the top of the league looks nice, eh?
Next up: Minnesota (a team which looked very impressive at home against Ohio State yesterday) comes to the Breslin Center on Wednesday. The game marks the start of an important 3 game homestand (Minnesota, Illinois, Iowa); a 6-0 start to the conference season seems a realistic--if difficult--proposition.
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Like Watching Paint Dry
I imagine it was a hard game for which to get motivated. At times, I was hoping the pace would pick up to a crawl or even a snail’s pace, but it was a plodding effort. A road win though is always a positive. As always, I was impressed with Green. We are a much better team when he is on the floor. He just doesn’t stop working hard and I would love to see even greater emulation of his work ethic by some of his teammates. Allen has been solid, taking good shots within the offense, not forcing things. A steady presence from him will be critical as we move through the Big Ten schedule.
It does seem that turn the ball over on our first two possessions almost every game. Maybe a little calming meditation is in order before the tipoff. I do anticipate that this team will get better and more consistent in the coming weeks.
Somewhat Scary Thought
It isn’t that I think the team should be looking ahead, but this bunch could 9-0 in the Big Ten by the time they go to Madison. Homies with Northwestern, Iowa, & Illinois, together with the home and home with Minnesota and a road game with UM in Ann Arbor. They all look winnable at this point. There is a rumor going around that Leuer at Wisconsin has a broken wrist and is out for the year, so the game in Madison looks a bit less threatening, down to a thunderstorm from a F-4 tornado.
I thought the same thing and didn't want to jinx us by posting it.
I think it’s pretty unlikely, though. The game at the Barn, in particular, looks pretty daunting at the moment.
I hadn’t heard that about Leuer. That’s huge news if true, obviously.
PP-TPW.
The Only Colors
offensive fouls
Just watched the game on the DVR. the turnovers really are appalling, especially against such a bad team. I noticed MSU got called for a crazy number of offensive fouls — I must have counted 6 of them. A twenty point win on the road in the Big Ten is never to be dismissed, but take my words, before you talk of 9-0 — at some point the turnover problem will lead to a bad loss in conference play, unless it gets corrected real soon.
I agree
The turnover issues absolutely have to be fixed by Wednesday. Minnesota is currently ranked 3rd in the nation in forcing turnovers. Purdue is 15th (both stats from Kenpom.com). We’ve now turned it over at a 23.7% clip against Wisconsin, who is ranked 253rd in the nation in turning the other team over, and 28.6% against Iowa, who is ranked 289th. If we have turnover issues against those two teams, Purdue and Minnesote could conceivably drive our turnover rate well above 30%, at which point our chances of winning begin approaching zero.
It’s great to be at the top of the standings, and the win against Wisconsin is pretty impressive. You always have to feel good about road wins in the Big 10, and we have two of them in hand, one against a team that’s legitimately on the bubble for the tournament. All in all, there’s not much to complain about, but that turnover thing is going to bite us against Purdue and Minnesota if it does not get corrected.
by TheCrestedHelm on Jan 11, 2010 8:02 AM CST up reply actions
Confirmation on Leuer
From UW Athletic Communications:
Wisconsin junior forward Jon Leuer injured his left wrist in Saturday’s game vs. Purdue, the UW Sports Medicine Staff announced Monday. Leuer was injured early in the first half of the Badgers’ game as he tried to brace himself during a fall.
An x-ray following the game revealed a fracture of a bone in his wrist and he is scheduled to have surgery on Tuesday. No timetable has been set for his return.
“Obviously, I’m disappointed by the injury, but I plan on being as big a part of this team as ever,” Leuer said. “I will continue to be at all the practices and conditioning sessions and support the team as best I can. I’m confident my teammates can continue the great season we’ve begun and I look forward to rejoining the team.”
Leuer has started all 16 games for UW this season and was the Badgers’ second-leading scorer at the time of the injury, averaging 15.4 points per game. He also leads the team with 6.2 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game. Leuer scored four points and grabbed a game-high 10 rebounds in Saturday’s win over Purdue.
Big news indeed.
MSU returns to Madison on Feb. 2. It’s difficult to believe that he’ll be healthy by then.
PP-TPW.
The Only Colors
Break up the Big Ten
It’s clearly damaging to your health. Is it time for mandatory player bubble-wrapping?
Turnovers
Minnesota trapped Turner three times with no help. Personally, I hope they do try the tap,
our guards will break that like Billy Donovan’s hairdo. The solution, as with everything this year, is the Dancing Bear helping to break the press/trap. He wants to play the point – what can’t this guy do?
Someone remind Durrell of last year’s halftime score: Summers 17 – Minnesota 16.

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