It's Big Ten Season - Michigan State 91, Northwestern 70
After a rusty win over Texas-Arlington on Wednesday, it was completely reasonable to worry about the Northwestern game. Even though Welsh-Ryan arena is the least imposing Big Ten venue, the loss of Kevin Coble seemed to galvanize the Wildcats, and played Illinois tough in their Big Ten opener. Seeing Ed Hightower in stripes at the tip-off only intensified my anxiety; one never knows how tight a game will be called with Eddie at the whistle.
Luckily, the Spartans would not be Hightowered. Michigan State showed the same focus they did in their opener last year against Minnesota, and after a somewhat shaky first 18 minutes, State responded with 22 minutes of their most inspired basketball of the year. The Spartans outscored the Wildcats 50-37 in the second half on the way to a 91-70 victory in a 70 possession game.
Four factors graph and breakdown after the jump.
Here's the four factors graph:
As you can see, Michigan State shot the lights out - an effective FG% of 63.9%, a FG% of 57.4 and a three point FG% of 43.8% will result in victories nearly every time. The TO% of 20% isn't great, but won't kill the Spartans either. The biggest eyebrow raise was the free throw rate: 55.6%, which is a result of the Spartans being in the bonus before the second media timeout in the second half (as well as the Wildcats - HIGHTOWER!).
Now let's take a look at the players:
- Kalin Lucas - 21 points on 8-12 shooting (1-3 on threes), 6 rebounds and four assists. The only blemish was his six turnovers on the night. Otherwise, he penetrated at will and seemed to have no hangover from his and Izzo's drama during the week.
- Raymar Morgan - 17 points on 5-9 shooting (6-7 FTs), a clutch three to end the first half, and one awesome half-court alley oop from Chris Allen. He also had 5 rebounds and 5 assists against one turnover. If Raymar can play like this for the whole Big Ten season, look out Purdue.
- A quiet night for Chris Allen where points are concerned (9 points on 3 for 8 shooting), but led MSU with six assists. Another highlight - he only committed two turnovers, an improvement over his previous performances.
- Durrell Summers carried the offense for the first half, and finished with 17 points, going 6 for 10 from the field and making all 3 of his threes. He also led MSU in rebounds with seven. The only nit I have to pick is that he picked up 4 fouls pretty quickly. Reason to get excited - he scored those 17 points in only 14 minutes.
- Draymond Green gave his usual swiss-army knife performance, finishing with 13 points (5-5 FG), 5 rebounds, 3 assists and 4 blocks.
- All but one of Korie Lucious' six shots were from behind the three-point arc. He shot 40% from three (2-5), and finished with eight points.
- Delvon Roe had an off night, scoring four points and collecting two rebounds in 21 minutes. When only one player in the seven-man rotation has an off-night though, that's pretty good.
If this game is any indicator, Izzo seems pretty set that the seven aforementioned players are going to get the vast majority of the minutes from here out (those seven played 90% of the game's total minutes). Garrick Sherman only got five minutes, and Derrick Nix and Austin Thornton each got four. I wish Nix and Sherman would receive a little more playing time, as the Spartans might need the height against taller opponents.
One more small point of concern - The defensive efficiency isn't improving, as Northwestern had an offensive efficiency of 1.00 PPP (points per possession). However, MSU's offensive efficiency was pretty darn impressive tonight at 1.30 PPP, and while it's good to have an efficiency margin of 0.3, I'd much rather have MSU accomplish that by scoring 1.20 PPP and allowing 0.90 PPP; the Spartans aren't going to shoot the lights out every night.
However, those are all small nits to pick in an otherwise impressive night. Michigan State now comes back to the Breslin to play Wisconsin on Wednesday. Wisconsin's blown out Ohio State and Penn State so far and ranks in the top 25 in Kenpom in offensive and defensive efficiency. It's Michigan State's first Big Ten test, and if the Northwestern game is any indication, they'll be more than ready.
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Draymond Green
I saw him for the second time this season (I live in Chicago) and I was very impressed. Is there a reason he doesn’t play more minutes? Like 30-35? It seems like he’s an excellent player on the offensive end. Does Izzo consider him a defensive liability?
I don't think so
It’s just that Raymar and Delvon are good front court players too, and everyone needs their minutes. I don’t think Izzo likes any of his non-Lucas players to play more than 30 minutes a game unless absolutely necessary.
Holiday Break
It looks as though the annual holiday two-a-days are paying off. Since I live where the BTN is not in the “acceptable demographic” range, I listened to the game on the net thanks to WJR. In the pre-game Gus said that the trip was “all business” in that they came to Chicago on Thursday after practice, then had two practices on Friday and a pre-game practice Saturday morning. The Old Coach seemed surprised, which may be why he became a radio color man. It seems like every year the team improves immensely during the holiday break and every year 90% of the fans are shocked when it happens. I would imagine that there was film today, Sunday, and at least one practice, with two-a-days scheduled for Monday and Tuesday. It could be a long night for Bucky Badger on Weds. I hope.
Defense
What was the story on all the points Shurna scored?
Based on the box score/highlights, a very reassuring start to conference play.
Fight for The Only Colors: Green and White!
by KJ@theonlycolors on Jan 3, 2010 9:57 PM CST reply actions
shurna
i went to the game. he was lights out for the first quarter of the game. then i didnt see him take a single shot until midway through the second half. i didnt notice that we were doing an exceptional job on shutting out passes to him. it looked like they just plain didnt get the ball tohim. we pressured their guards more and they were forced to pass to #12 often, he didnt seem to confident in handling the ball.
Indicators
I had the sense when Raymar hit his first jumper that it would be a good night for him. If he can continue to play with the intesity and productiveness of the other night, this team can be one of the top eight teams come tournament time. Summers is growing in confidence, and Allen has been a steady presence for several games, showing good decision making and a more consistent touch fom the outside. Wisconsin will be a good test.
An encouraging start, to be sure
I too would like to see us doing a little better on defense, but overall it’s a quality away win, so there’s not too much to complain about. I’m not sure how good OSU is without Turner but Wisconsin looks pretty good.
The Wisconsin game is going to come down to who wins a strength on strength battle between us and them in terms of effective field goal percentage and rebounding. As things stand currently, they rank first in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage, and are pretty good at limiting the effective field goal percentage of their opponents. We will either have to shoot well or get our share of offensive rebounds – which looks like a pretty tall order. We are a very good offensive rebounding team but they are just as good at limiting opponents’ offensive rebounding opportunities. They don’t turn teams over much (like us, that is not an emphasis for them) but the one chink in their armor defensively is that they do have a propensity to foul. If we can be agressive on offense maybe that could work in our favor.
They don’t really go after offensive rebounds, so we should be able to limit them to one and done on most posessions. If we can force them to shoot poorly (we won’t be turnining them over as we just don’t turn teams over much and they don’t turn it over much on offense) we should be able to limit their effectiveness on offense. I expect we will struggle a little on offense as well as our second chance shots will be more limited than usual. This would be a good time for Morgan, Summers, and Allen to all get hot in the same game.
Draymond is the change of pace
I think Izzo likes bringing the Dancing Bear off the bench. Raymar and Delvon don’t pass very well and Day-Day does. He was great at breaking the 1-3-1 zone. Also, I agree that Izzo wants some flexibility at the 3/4. Don’t you think Lucious is drooling at dropping some step back treys on Bo Cryin?

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