Next Up: The Purdue Boilermakers
Your Spartans have had an extra week off to heal and prepare for a Purdue team whose injury problems make ours seem piddling by comparison. By my count, at least four different quarterbacks have played substantial time for Purdue this season. Hilariously, QB-turned-WR Justin Siller moved back under center and started the Michigan game for Purdue . . . and was injured on the first play. He won't be back this season. (Hilarious in the black comedy "how does this keep happening" way, not the "HA HA your guy got injured way," of course.) So, keep that in mind while digesting Purdue's stats -- particularly the offensive ones:
| Purdue (nat'l rank) | Michigan State (nat'l rank) | |
| Passing offense | 136.8 (115) | 240.0 (43) |
| Pass efficiency | 93.75 (118) | 149.74 (23) |
| Rushing offense | 168.3 (40) | 176.8 (39) |
| Scoring offense | 17.4 (113) | 31.3 (40) |
| Total offense | 305.1 (107) | 416.8 (34) |
| Passing defense | 215.7 (62) | 208.9 (49) |
| Pass efficiency defense | 139.53 (93) | 115.45 (25) |
| Rushing defense | 148.7 (54) | 119.0 (18) |
| Scoring defense | 27.6 (70) | 18.8 (17) |
| Total defense | 364.4 (57) | 327.9 (28) |
| Turnover margin | -.6 (96) | +.6 (26) |
Yeesh. Purdue ranks in the triple-digits nationally in 4 of the 5 offensive categories we look at. The Boilers didn't score an offensive touchdown last week, and that was against the Michigan defense. Suffice to say, things are not going well in West Lafayette. Adam Rittenberg says that Rob Henry is likely to take most of the snaps for Purdue on Saturday. This season, Henry is completing 50.9% of his passes, has 3 touchdowns to go along with 4 interceptions, and his 96.72 passer rating ranks last among Big Ten primary quarterbacks. And yet, Henry is a far better option than his backup, true freshman Sean Robinson, who is completing only 48.4% of his passes, and has two touchdown passes and six interceptions. I kind of feel bad typing all of this; the injury hits have been absolutely brutal for Purdue this season, and have resulted in a number of really unprepared players having to see substantial game action.
The one area of major concern for MSU is certainly Purdue's proficiency at getting to the quarterback. The Boilers average 3.1 sacks per game, 5th best in the country. They're led by Ryan Kerrigan, who has assumed the Brandon Graham role of "spectacular player on a really bad team." His boxscore against Michigan last week was absolutely ludicrous: 10 tackles, 5 TFLs, 4 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, 1 fumble recovery. Kerrigan had a quiet game against MSU last season (only 2 tackles), but I wouldn't count on a similar performance this year. The guy should be the conference defensive player of the year. But even with Kerrigan and the excellent pass rush he leads, Purdue's pass defense is pretty mediocre, as reflected in the statistics above.
In any event, this is obviously a must-win for MSU to keep its BCS hopes alive; additionally, a victory would give the Spartans their first undefeated home record since 1999. We'll discuss the game in-depth throughout the next few days. But as always, I ask you: 70 hours from kickoff, how are you feeling about this game?
Note: Travis from Hammer and Rails is far more industrious than we are, and has already posted his game preview. Check it out here.
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ill say win
a comfortable one but no blow out. i dont think their offense is good enough to score. and getting up by two scores should be a large enough lead to not worry about a come back.
unless cousins is throwin picks still…
Quite simply this is a must win game.
Nothing about Purdue’s season to date suggests that this should be anything more than a warm up for the Penn State game next Saturday. I expect us to put Purdue away early and get our backups significant playing time. Anything else shows that we do not deserve a BCS bowl game. In order to shovel more dirt on SOS, we must win this game in a convincing fashion.
We've beat Purdue by more than 2 touchdowns 15 times in the series.
Interestingly Purdue has beat MSU by more than 2 touchdowns exactly twice. 1969 and 1999. 1999 you might remember was our last 10 win season. Purdue blew out MSU 52-28. I would hope history does not repeat itself.
I was a sophomore that year
That was possibly Drew Brees’ best ever performance. he and Chris Daniels went apeshit. Daniels had I think 21 receptions for 301 yards and 3 scores. That’s not a typo.
Brees was 40/57 for 509 yards, five scores and four picks, two of whcih were returned for TDs. All five TDs were int he first half.
Alas, those are about our season totals now for our leading receiver and passer. I hope it is close, but I am not expecting it. We’ve had some good games with you.
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
I was a senior.
I think I may have punched my TV at one point. April, 2000 lessened the sting of a “lost” Big Ten Championship in football, but not by much.
I really hope MSU doesn't start off slow in the 1st half because they are coming off of the bye week so a slow start would be disappointing.
even that was a rough start if I recall correctly
At least for the Offense, although that was due to turnovers. And the defense definitely didn’t start slow.
by trivialstuff16 on Nov 17, 2010 3:50 PM CST up reply actions
We were up 3-0 at the end of the 1st
Wisc then scored the next 10 points before we ran off 17 straight before halftime.
http://scores.espn.go.com/ncf/boxscore?gameId=302750127
PP-TPW.
The Only Colors
Interesting note
A Spartan victory would mark the third straight year you have officially eliminated us from bowl consideration.
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
Ouch
Didn’t realize that…..of course I was also in Spartan Stadium in 2006 when Purdue beat us 17-15 rubbing more salt in the wounds of the JLS era.
by RickTheBloggerMartel on Nov 17, 2010 6:38 PM CST up reply actions
Too Confidant for realism
Stepping back to think about it I am actually about as confidant as I was in our bball game against South Carolina. That being said if we underperform on Saturday as much as we did on Tuesday we are going to lose.
A game like this against an injured, overmatched opponent
must become the type of game where there is no doubt we will win.
As dangerous as this line of thinking is...
I think realistically thinking the more important game for MSU football this Saturday will be happening in Iowa City. I was extremely happy to find out GameDay is going to be there (we all know what happened last time GameDay was at a big OSU away game).
Agreed there.
Iowa-Ohio State is essentially a BCS elimination game.
Beat Northwestern and Michigan, THEN I'll talk Wisconsin in the BCS. But not until that happens.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 18, 2010 10:30 AM CST up reply actions
For OSU
Iowa already has 3 losses.
Fight for The Only Colors: Green and White!
by KJ@theonlycolors on Nov 18, 2010 11:30 AM CST up reply actions
If Iowa snaps any possibility Ohio State has of sharing a championship
I will be happy. Then I’ll wonder how my Badgers are doing in AA…
Beat Northwestern and Michigan, THEN I'll talk Wisconsin in the BCS. But not until that happens.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 18, 2010 11:33 AM CST up reply actions
Pretty sure you're right.
That said, I still think Iowa can pull it off.
Bradley-Terry ratings for college football and basketball
Because there aren't enough computer rankings already.
LeVeon Bell?
Will he be back to start of the season form or will he continue to hit the Freshman wall? Regardless I still think LeVeon is a great back and glad for what he has given us this season.
I tend....
…to put that more on the oline than Bell. He had more holes to run through earlier, for whatever reason. They need to get him the ball on a screen or two, though. Baker is a shiftier type runner and able to find his own holes more.
by witless chum on Nov 18, 2010 5:38 AM CST up reply actions
If you win by less than 40, I'll be disappointed.
Looking forward to being back in East Lansing, though!
This should be an easy win
Coming off a bye week against a decimated team, that I don’t think healthy is as talented as us, this game should not be in doubt much past the 1st quarter.
That being said, Ryan Kerrigan is incredible. For two straight seasons this guy has just dominated, despite being the only Purdue player producing at an elite level. I am always more impressed by great players who are able to produce on bad teams, than on good ones. A great player on a bad team is going to be keyed on. Any coach who isn’t chipping Kerrigan at least, if not sending two blockers at him, on every passing down is crazy. And yet he still puts up monster numbers.
Never count a win vs the Spoilermakers until the game clock reads 00:00
I view the 1997 game as a microcosm of Spartan football fandom angst.
For those who don’t remember, if you don’t wish to remember… don’t read this.
MSU was ahead by 11 with approximately 2:30 to go in the fourth quarter and lined up to put the final nail in the coffin with a field goal attempt to increase the lead to 14. Instead the attempt was blocked… and returned for a touchdown. Then Purdue recovered the onside kick, and marched down the field to score in the final seconds.
Agonizing. Fast start. Epic collapse. Agonizing.
I just don’t feel good about characterizing Purdue as an ‘easy’ win. They still make me queasy. It doesn’t comfort me at all that they’ve been down this year.
I hope our Spartans do dispatch them with relative ease, but I’ll be keeping my fingers crossed.
The sideline is always greener at MSU.
That game killed me.
I still have nightmare’s about it. That being said, this MSU team is much better and more consistent than its ’97 counterparts, and this Purdue team, post injuries, is nowhere near the group that the ’97 team was.
The next year was similar
I think Brees had two TD’s in the final three minutes to get that win too.
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

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