A Tale of Three Point Guards: Michigan State 65, Penn State 54
Point Guard #1: Talor Battle must wake up the morning before every game he plays against Michigan State feeling like he has super powers. Battle is now 21 for 43 from 3-point range in 5 career games career against MSU. It's only an exaggeration from a purely mathematical standpoint to say that Talor Battle WAS the Penn State offense today. Battle had a direct hand in at least 40 of Penn State's 54 points today (30 points, 5 assists). In table form:
| 2pt | 3pt | FT | Pts | Ast | TO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talor Battle | 2-5 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 30 | 5 | 2 |
| Other 8 Nittany Lions | 5-13 | 4-15 | 2-4 | 24 | 7 | 9 |
All things considered, the MSU defense was pretty good today. Despite Battle's long-distance shooting heroics, Penn State was held to just under a point per possession (56-possession game). MSU forced a decent number of turnovers (19.6%) and allowed the Nittany Lions to grab only 4 rebounds in 30 opportunities. The defensive intensity was generally much better today than it has been of late, with much smoother rotating/switching to pick up open men. Perhaps the most encouraging sign was the 3 shot-clock violations they forced the Lions into.
For a minute there, though, it looked like Battle might single-handedly push Penn State over to the top to another upset win over MSU. Which brings us to . . .
Point Guard #2: Mike Kebler made the second meaningful appearance of his Spartan career today as a result of Korie Lucious failing to take care of academic responsibilities and not making the trip to Happy Valley (Rexrode guesses class skipping). Kebler played a couple short stretches in the first half to handle the ball when Kalin Lucas needed a rest. He played so well, though, that he got significant minutes in the second half even when Lucas was playing, staying on the court for a key 9-minute stretch.
In 18 career meaningful minutes, Kebler has yet to commit a turnover while posting 3 assists (plus a nicely-thrown lob pass to Durrell Summers on the fast break today that turned into 2 points at the free throw line).
Even more importantly:
| Min | 2pt | 3pt | FT | Pts | Ast | TO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kebler not on floor | 27 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 5-8 | 28 | 4 | 1 |
| Kebler on floor | 10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
The defense played by Lucas/Allen/Summers wasn't necessarily bad today--Battle made a lot of very difficult shots--but Mike Kebler was the one guy who seemed to be able to stay right in front of Battle on every possession. Battle scored a point per minute when Kebler wasn't on the floor, but converted only one shot during the 10 minutes when Kebler was on the floor (and generally assigned to guarding Battle).
(I should point out that 9 of the 10 minutes for which both Kebler and Battle were on the floor came in the second half, when Battle may have been wearing down. The 3 minutes Battle didn't play in this game came during the 4 minutes Kebler was on the court in the second half.)
Kebler may very well have earned himself 5-10 minutes per game of real playing time down the stretch here, at least against opponents with smaller lineups. (Note to Tom Izzo: That lineup with Kebler, Austin Thornton, Garrick Sherman all on the floor didn't seem to work so well, though.)
As for the guy whose absence initially got Kebler on the court last week . . .
Point Guard #3: There are not many players in the country who can post a line like this while still recovering from a relatively serious ankle sprain: 24 points on 10-15 FG shooting, 6 assists, 1 turnover, 3 steals. Lucas game out aggressively in this game, clearly to trying to show he was ready to be the main initiator on offense. That went pretty well, as MSU posted 1.16 points per possession--their third best offensive showing of the Big Ten season. They limited turnovers (16.1%) and got it done on the boards (37.5). The failure to get to the free throw line is a mild concern, but 7-13 three-point shooting against quite a bit of zone defense was enough to get the job done in terms of scoring efficiency.
Non-point guard bullets:
- Draymond Green didn't make a shot from the field today, scoring just 2 points on free throws. Green is now 1-20 from the field over the past two games. On the heels of his superb scoring performance vs. Illinois, his shooting touch has suddenly gone missing. Per usual, though, he contributed in other ways: 8 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 turnover, 1 steal.
- Raymar Morgan had another rough outing. After a 5-game stretch in which Morgan made 32 of 42 FG attempts, he's made just 6 of 22 shots in his last 4 games. In part, I think Morgan is struggling with how much he's being asked to play at the 4 spot. By my calculations, 17 of his 26 minutes were played in one of the "big" spots today. He had his shot blocked several times around the basket today, and wasn't able to get to the free throw line. Playing limited minutes on the perimeter also means he's not getting a chance to get into a rhythm shooting from the outside, which seemed like a possibility after he made a long jumpshot to start the game. I'm not trying to make excuses for Morgan, but I do think being the "tweener" up front makes thing tougher for him.
- Delvon Roe, Derrick Nix, and Garrick Sherman combined for 12 points and 9 rebounds in 40 minutes. We'll take it.
- Durrell Summers played well in his return from Tuesday night's second-half benching. He only had 9 points, but 7 of those came consecutively after Penn State had taken a 2-point lead with 12 minutes to go to put MSU back up by 5.
- So far so good on Chris Allen-being-a-consistent-perimeter-threat plan. 14 points on 4-6 three-point shooting plus 3 assists. That's 12-19 over the last 3 games if you're keeping score at home.
Up next: Another road game against a lower-tier Big Ten foe--Tuesday night in Bloomington (7:00, ESPN). The three-game losing streak is over. With Ohio State-Illinois tomorrow, Purdue-Ohio State on Wednesday, and Wisconsin-Minnesota on Thursday, a two-game winning streak would help MSU move back ahead of at least a couple teams in the current pack at the top of the conference standings.
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I'm concerned.
I am now more comfortable with Kebler than Lucious or Thornton. Thus far, his ballhandling and defense have proved superior to both.
I shouldn’t be nervous that the return of our 4-star, sophomore, back-up point guard could damage the team by taking minutes away from an Okemos walk-on. But I am.
Seriously, I hope Kebler gets minutes against Indiana. He’s earned it.
Green's struggles
I’m thinking that Green’s poor shooting, after the monster game against Illinois, is a result of Chris Allen mentioning something to him about being ready for the NBA.
Great effort by Kebler. He may prove to be a stopper. Slowing Battle down today was worth 8 to 10 points. Perhaps Morgan will skip some classes and Zeke will come in and light it up.
Kebler
I was particularly impressed that Izzo decided to have Kebler fight through picks and stay with Battle: he really did an excellent job face-guarding Battle, and staying with him six feet or more beyond the arc (Battle has such a quick release).. If and when he turned the corner on Kebler, everyone else collapsed. If nothing else, at least Izzo can show the other guards some tape of excellent defense now.
by RobbingGormanThomas on Feb 13, 2010 6:39 PM CST reply actions
Count me in the Kebler Fan Club
We finally have someone who can bring up the ball when Lucas is out without me expecting calamity.
Also, please tell me that Battle is graduating. Dude’s got LeBron range, though that is the only area in which there’s a comparison. Once he finally cooled off, though, that was it.
He's a junior, sadly.
We had a part in cooling him off, though; we finally started contesting some of those looks. Kebler did a great job of fighting through those screens and keeping Battle in front of him. (Battle also threw up some really poor shots, too.)
PP-TPW.
The Only Colors
In Battle's defense ...
… it’s not like PSU has anyone else they can count on for offense. So I don’t really blame him too much for jacking up absurd shots. (Well, that and the fact that he actually makes them so freaking often.)
Letting Battle do whatever the hell he wants to do was unquestionably our best option.
And it almost worked.
"...there'll be some woman, maybe 45 or 50, she'll come up and give me a hug, and I'll give my wife a wink: See? I'm not that old." - Joe Paterno
by ReadingRambler on Feb 14, 2010 12:01 AM CST up reply actions
He's not graduating and he's not leaving.
I don’t know if we’ll really be any better next year – most of the players we’ll need to improve are already juniors – but his highly recruited brother will arrive next year. From most of the scuttlebutt I’ve heard it sounds like he’s Talor but two inches taller.
So maybe our offense can consist of two people jacking up insane shots.
"...there'll be some woman, maybe 45 or 50, she'll come up and give me a hug, and I'll give my wife a wink: See? I'm not that old." - Joe Paterno
by ReadingRambler on Feb 14, 2010 12:03 AM CST up reply actions
Kebler Elf
He reminds me of Bograkus – plays defense and seldom turns it over. Although, he looks terrified to shoot. Give him more minutes.
Congrats to Appling on McDonald’s All-American. As for next year, future looks bright with Payne, Byrd & Gauna.
Without Lucas
And by that same standard, Purdue at Breslin shouldn’t have been any concern – they lost at Northwestern, and we smoked NW.
OSU is going to be a formidable opponent, to be sure. But do not make the mistake of trying to apply the transitive property to basketball.
Ugh
Would have hoped I had enough cred here not to get that attributed to me. I was pointing out a notably different outcome for an upcoming opponent in similar circumstances, not “deducing” the outcome. I certainly hope having Lucas back will make the difference.
by Con-T on Feb 15, 2010 12:15 PM CST via mobile up reply actions

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