Quick Look at Northern Iowa (Graphy Goodness Ahead)
[Bumped. Step right up and get your UNI Panther visual data right here. One warning: That MSU-UNI comparison bar graph paints a nice picture for the Spartans, but Northern Iowa has actually been better on the defensive side of the ball against teams not ranked #1 in the country. More on that in the near future. -KJ]
EDIT: Due to KJ's comment above, I've manually calculated UNI's conference-only numbers I use below: eFG%, FTR, 3P%, 2P%, OR%, STL%, TO% and BLK%. I then looked at that data without the game against Kansas. There is a small difference. Hopefully I'm not stepping on any toes. KJ, feel free to virtually punish me by removing this if it's encroaching on a future post of yours!
Again, click image to enlarge. Hopefully the legend is easy enough to read. Blue is UNI's entire conference schedule that I used for the Efficiency Margin bar graph directly below this. That includes the MVC conference tournament and their first two games in the NCAA Tourney. Red is all of those games, but taking out the game against the Jayhawks. The yellow is their entire season-long data that includes their non-conference schedule that I just extracted from KenPom. And Green, well, you know what that stands for.
Unless I'm stupidly over thinking KJ's comment -- and considering it's 3 AM and I cannot sleep, that is a possibility -- the differences are slight. Even manually getting their Offensive and Defensive Efficiency ratings for the Conference schedule and their first round game against UNLV, is slight:
Because I was bored with some free time, here's a couple looks at Northern Iowa's efficiency ratings (data from KenPom):
| Off Eff | Def Eff | |
|---|---|---|
| With Kansas | 104.7 | 89.8 |
| W/O Kansas | 104.5 | 89.0 |
Another note: Any inaccuracy of the manually created data is my own fault. Really intrigued by KJ's comment to see what he comes up with. I'm thinking there's an angle in here that I'm missing. Probably over thinking it.
End Edit.
Click all images to enlarge.
They were crazy good in Missouri Valley conference play (I didn't include their non-conference schedule). Really just two bad games (one against Wichita State and one against Bradley) and some games they were even with their opponents (Bradey, Missouri State and Evansville). Their Efficiency Margin has really hung around 10 for the latter half of the season.
Kind of like the Maryland Polynomial I posted in the preview thread for the game against Maryland, UNI's offense has trended positively, but their defense unfortunately has trended the wrong way. Still, it doesn't look as bad as Maryland's which was trending up over the 110 mark by the end of the year.
Not sure what the best way to look at this is, but I'll give it a couple of different attempts. First, just a standard bar graph:
We have a pretty sizable lead in 2P% which gives us the better eFG% than UNI on the year. How good we are inside the arc without Kalin Lucas remains to be seen. Per usual, our offensive rebounding % is through the roof when compared to our opponents.
Here's where I step a bit outside of the box. I like throwing the data into different graphs of sorts when I'm bored in an attempt to find a better way to visualize the data. I don't know how this captures all the data (not sure it does it effectively), but I'll throw it in here anyways.
It's interesting, at least, no?
This is a FanPost, written by a member of the TOC community. It does not represent the official positions of The Only Colors, Inc.--largely because we have no official positions.
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Hmmm...
I probably should’ve just calculated all the eFG%, FTR, 3P/2P%, Block %, Steal % etc etc for the games I picked above instead of using their season-long numbers.
My old blog is Tigers By The Numbers.
Now I write at Bless You Boys.
Like music? See what I'm listening to at my Last.fm account.
Interesting radar
I guess it tells you about what the bar graph tells you: pretty evenly matched offensively other than 2P% and OR%. Other than TO%, you would want the MSU radar to “eat” the UNI radar, engulfing it. As a matter of fact, this should be called the Pacman Graph — you want MSU out on the edges on all categories and inside on the TO%. The ideal result is Pacman going left.
GO GREEN PACMAN this Friday!!
Sorry
My comments weren’t as clear as they could have been. I just meant that most of the stats in that graph are offensive stats rather than defensive stats (Oreb% and not Dreb%, etc.) UNI won Saturday’s game by scoring a lot of points, but has actually been better on defense most of the season.
Fight for The Only Colors: Green and White!
by KJ@theonlycolors on Mar 23, 2010 6:32 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
Doh!
For some reason the whole “defensive side of the ball” phrase wasn’t fully clicking for me last night. I won’t steal your thunder, though!
My old blog is Tigers By The Numbers.
Now I write at Bless You Boys.
Like music? See what I'm listening to at my Last.fm account.
Defense
UNI was the Valley’s best defensive team – by a lot (0.08 better than anyone else). But they were very average on offense. They were also very nearly the slowest paced team in the nation, beating out even Wisconsin on Pomeroy’s adjusted pace numbers. They are grinders.
They are also good on the defensive glass
like Wisconsin. I think we should ban all further comparisons between Northern Iowa and Wisconsin from here on out.
by TheCrestedHelm on Mar 23, 2010 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions
I can think of one area in which they are very unlike Wisconsin
Unfortunately, it’s one area that their being very like Wisconsin would be beneficial to us: They have actually beaten a worthy team in March sometime in the past decade.
Ssssssssssssssssstt!
Burned!
Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.
by Kyle McCann't on Mar 24, 2010 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions

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