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By the skin of their teeth: Michigan State 67, Penn State 65

This game could have, and maybe should have, gone the other way.  Ed DeChellis' team came out and executed a nearly-lethal gameplan.  On offense, Penn State took advantage of all the defensive attention MSU threw at Talor Battle--who was "held" to 16 points on 2-8 three-point shooting--and the much more lackadaisical defense played against Battle's supporting cast to post 65 points in 61 possessions.

Chris Babb (16), Jeff Brooks (13), and David Jackson (12) combined for 41 points on 7-12 two-point shooting and 7-13 three-point shooting.  The Nittany Lions played a confident and cohesive offensive game, recording 17 assists on 23 made field goals (8 of the assists were dished by Battle).

Defensively, DeChellis waited until MSU looked to be on the verge of running away with the game, having built a 56-46 lead with nine and a half minutes to go in the game.  Then he sprung Penn State's two zone looks on the Spartans.  The result was an MSU scoring drought that culminated in a 58-56 Penn State lead with 6 minutes to go.  From the point MSU built the 10-point lead, they scored just 11 points to finish the game, with 4 of those coming on free throws in the final 15 seconds.

There were at least two open jumpshots Penn State players missed in the final several minutes that would have put MSU in playing-from-behind mode.  And the Nittany Lions gave an MSU turnover back to the Spartans in the final 20 seconds that would have given them the chance to tie the game or go ahead by 1.

As far as the hunt for a Big Ten championship goes, a win is a win.  As far as this team peaking going into postseason play goes, that ship looks like it's sailed.

Star-divide

The four-factors graph actually looks OK.  MSU limited turnovers (16.4%) and dominated the rebounding battle (40.0% vs. 16.7%).  Penn State made this a game by doing what they'd done well in their recent three wins: making shots.  The Nittany Lions converted 14 of 27 two-pointers and 9 of 23 three-pointers.

 

There are only three individual MSU performances that were bulletpoint-worthy tonight:

  • Raymar Morgan is finishing his Big Ten career in fine fashion: 16 points on 13 FGA, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, and 1 turnover tonight.  He took it at the Penn State zone when MSU needed points late in the game and converted 4 free throws in the clutch (taking advantage of a Penn State lane violation in the process).
  • Draymond Green was the offensive instigator early in the game.  He finished with 14 points on 8 FGA, 9 rebounds (4 on offense), 4 assists, and zero turnovers.  Heady play to double team Battle in the closing seconds and prevent him from getting past mid-court before the buzzer sounded.
  • Korie Lucious showed some life tonight: 6 points (on 2-5 three-point shooting), 2 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 turnovers.  He also played pretty good defense on Battle, blocking a 3-point attempt at one point (to make up for giving Battle too much room to knock down a 3-pointer on the previous trip).

Onward and forward: Our friends from Ann Arbor make the trek up I-96 on Sunday with, I imagine, every intention of making MSU eeeearn [spoken with British accent] a share of the Big Ten title.  4:00 on CBS.

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Weird

After watching the game I felt like we generally played much better than vs. Purdue………….but we almost lost to Penn State.

I guess 4 minute scoring droughts against a team that’s looking a lot better than its record will do that to you.

by witless chum on Mar 5, 2010 5:51 AM CST reply actions  

Yeah

It really worries me for our tournament hopes… even early-round games.

by TMadison25 on Mar 5, 2010 7:41 AM CST up reply actions  

offensive woes

In the great Spartan tradition, all the criticism is going to be about the lousy defense on PSU. Nonetheless, if MSU had made all the wide open shots it had, this would have been a blow out. Penn state can score, but they don’t exactly play championship defense. Allen and summers 5-18 is preoccupying; also Lucas not trying a single three is odd.

I suspect the team will see some zones in March.

by Anderlecht on Mar 5, 2010 8:06 AM CST reply actions  

Izzo sounds pretty unhappy..

http://noise.typepad.com/hey_joe/2010/03/bout-to-go-medieval.html

Seems he was just flat out embarrassed by the team’s performance last night. Those quotes in there are about as unhappy as I can remember Izzo sounding when talking about his team.

Also – I disagree with the point that Lucious had a decent game – I thought he was terrible. I think his turnover stats must be incorrect. When he makes an awful pass that is damn near impossible for his teammates to catch – but it technically touches his teammates hands before going out of bounds – does that count as a turnover against him or the teammate? Because I felt like there were several of those during the game (and at inopportune times as well – during PSU’s multiple big runs on MSU). I feel even though his stats don’t look horrible – they don’t truly show some of the poor decision making that he made on the court – especially when they needed their guys to be playing smart.

by MooTheKow on Mar 5, 2010 8:29 AM CST reply actions  

He made some passes that were tough to handle

But he was at least playing aggressively against the zone. And he didn’t look afraid to shoot the 3.

If this team is going to be successful over the next few weeks, Lucious is going to have to provide an offensive spark on occasion. I’d rather seem him playing too aggressively than too passively.

Fight for The Only Colors: Green and White!

by KJ@theonlycolors on Mar 5, 2010 8:49 AM CST up reply actions  

Nothing to worry about

Maybe they aren’t peaking, but they flat out didn’t shoot well, despite open looks. Offensive execution is one of their strengths and I thought they executed well despite some bonehead turnovers, which is par for the course for this team. Still would be really nice to get both the inside and outside game going in the same night. Green and Morgan played well, but the perimeter guys just didn’t have it.

by nationgreen on Mar 5, 2010 9:05 AM CST reply actions  

Analysis by half shows missing D after the break

I just crunched the efficiency numbers by half, and we allowed them to score 1.31 points per possession in the second half. PSU’s second half eFG% was 72.7! That will just not get it done. Their second half turnover percentage was a miniscule 9.8 and we sent them to the line pretty frequently – their free throw rate was 26.8%. All of that points to a lot of laziness on D.

We actually played better on offense in the second (compared to the first) half, but our D fell off a cliff. We scored 1.02 PPP in the first half and 1.14 in the second. The free throw stats look pretty wierd. They took far more perimeter shots than we did but wound up shooting more free throws – most of them in the second half. Usually, the team that gets the ball into the paint (not to mentioin the home team) shoots more free throws. I’m not necessarily criticizing the refs but this game bucked normal statistical trends as far as foul shots are concerned.

by TheCrestedHelm on Mar 5, 2010 9:28 AM CST reply actions  

I should add

We did play good D before the break, holding them to 0.8 points per possession. Their eFG% in the first half was only 41, they turned it over on almost 20% of their possessions, and their FT rate was only .05%. We also did a decent job on the boards.

by TheCrestedHelm on Mar 5, 2010 9:33 AM CST reply actions  

Something to work on

Screens on the perimeter resulting in almost uncontested threes, the screener’s man has to help defending. This has been a problem all year.

by MSU1978 on Mar 5, 2010 11:31 AM CST reply actions  

Sherman

I’m pretty sure when he came in we had a ten point lead in the 1st half. When he came out the score was tied…

He had a rough night.

by RickTheBloggerMartel on Mar 5, 2010 12:52 PM CST reply actions  

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