Video proof.

over 1 year ago LVS 4 comments 0 recs |

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Wow

Down 9 with 2:39 remaining. That’s remarkable.

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Jan 12, 2011 1:22 PM CST reply actions

The point I thought it was over

When Lucas airballed the floater with 1:48 left, trailing by 6. But that was followed up by the terrible decision by Wilson to go for the contested layup in transition only 10 seconds later.

"You can look at the dinosaur that weighs you down or you can look at the big pot of gold (and) try to say, 'You know what? I'm going to try to live up to expectations.' " -Tom Izzo, Iron Mountain Philosopher

by Ducking Delvon on Jan 12, 2011 9:45 PM CST reply actions

I'm all for taking the early shot in that situation if it's WIDE open

I don’t know the exact percentages, but my gut feeling is an early basket in that situation would have improved Wisconsin’s odds of winning more than just running the clock and missing late in the shot clock. The problem, of course, is that the layup was nowhere near wide open.

I've got this terrible pain in all the diodes down my left-hand side.
Bradley-Terry rankings for college football and basketball: because there aren't enough computer rankings already.

by SpartanDan on Jan 12, 2011 11:28 PM CST up reply actions

Game over-ness

There are other formulas out there with far more sound theoretical basis for determine when a lead is “safe” or a game is basically over. One I’ve always used is this:

If [(lead in points)^2] / time remaining in minutes > 32 at any point outside of the 2 minute mark (2:01, it applies. 1:59, doesn’t apply), the game is over.

Inside of 2 minutes it’s just a good formula to see who’s playing better down the stretch by how it’s changing. For instance, MSU was down to Wisconsin, but that number kept getting smaller, so MSU was clearly outplaying Wisconsin down the stretch.

At the 2:32 mark that number was 31.974. One second later it was 14.3. By the one minute mark it was 9.0. At 47.2 seconds, it was 0.

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Jan 13, 2011 9:51 AM CST reply actions