MSU vs. Iowa: Keys to the Game
Well, we meet again. Not much of a preview is needed of the Iowa Hawkeyes by now: this is the third meeting of the season between MSU and Iowa and things stand 1-1 at the moment. In the first meeting Iowa took advantage of cold shooting and porous interior defense to rock the Spartans by 20. There weren't many takeaways from that game aside from motivation. In my preview of the last game I noted that
The Hawkeyes are quite vulnerable inside. Conference opponents are hitting 54% from inside the arc and they stand dead last in the Big Ten, by a good margin, in defensive rebounding percentage. Look for the Spartans to work the ball inside. . .
The Spartans did in fact make a concerted effort to score in close, getting half their 30 buckets on layups or dunks. A couple of specific tactics worked well for them and could have worked even better. And a couple of areas of concern on defense resurfaced as well. I'm going to take a look at both ends of the court with the help of some visual aids à la Luke Winn.
Offense: Feeding the Post
Although Derrick Nix and Adreian Payne had their moments, and I'm sure they'll both see quality minutes in this game, the guy I think is the biggest threat to Iowa is Garrick Sherman. Iowa has no one to overpower him on defense and he's got the best post game of the three young bigs, especially his footwork.Feeding the post is (at least) a two-man game, though, and the best post moves in the world are no good if you can't get the ball. To take maximum advantage of Sherman's skills, his minutes should be combined, as far as possible, with Draymond Green's, because, frankly, Green is the only guy on the team right now who can get the ball in to the post. Here are two sequences to illustrate this.
In the first frame you can see Draymond Green anticipating, and waiting for, Sherman to establish post position. Many of the other Spartans give up on the post feed when it's not there immediately. Green keeps his dribble alive, so the defender has to give him enough space to make the pass and Sherman deftly executes a step-around, getting his leg in front of the defender who's trying to front him, and the instant he has sealed off his man, Green has the ball on its way. Sherman gets the ball in perfect post position, between the hashmarks with one foot in the paint. In this case he got fouled - and missed both free throws - but when you consider that he's shooting over 70% from the field, almost exclusively on looks like this, you have to think it's something that needs to be worked until Iowa can stop it.


Another version of this that Green works with Sherman as well as Delvon Roe is the high-low game. Green is acting as point guard again here. Once again, Sherman's defender tries to front him to deny the ball. If he had played behind him over his left shoulder, Sherman would have been available for a ball screen near the right elbow with a view to freeing Green for a drive to the lane. As the second frame shows, this time Sherman was open for a tricky lob pass, once again a play that only Green seems able to make (and not all the time, either). Sherman, again showing his deceptive post skills, executes a tough catch and shoot for the layup as he's going out of bounds.
Offense: The Pick-and-Roll
A recent article by Michael Rothstein that was fanshotted here on TOC the other day describes how the ball screen has begun to take hold in college basketball. Michigan State is no exception. They run the high pick-and-roll with all of their big men, but not usually with a great deal of success. Typically the ball-handler either refuses or doesn't use the screen, seldom tries to hit the screener as he rolls to the hoop (or, more rarely, pops out for a jumper) or doesn't find the shooter left open by a double-team. The following sequence from the Iowa game is a good example.

Sherman sets a good high ball screen for Lucas and then rolls to the lane. I counted about 5 high ball screens similar to this that the Spartans ran in this game and Iowa employed the same defense every time. They attempted to trap the ball-handler with both defenders and then sagged a weak-side perimeter defender into the lane to cover the screener. As the first frame shows, this left Keith Appling, who was 4-5 from three on the night, unguarded in the left corner, one of his favorite spots. Instead of getting the ball to Appling Lucas dribbled along the top of the key and got the ball to Durrell Summers on the right wing. This, unfortunately, left only 5 seconds on the shot clock to make a play, the situation shown in the second frame. This still left Summers with a couple of options: Roe had established pretty good post position in front of him and the skip pass to Appling may still have been available. Summers elected to take a tightly contested three, resulting in an air-ball and shot-clock violation.
I see two main takeaways from this. Spartan ball-handlers need to recognize this defense and react to it by getting the ball to the open man. Also, it might not be a bad idea to run this play for Summers in the corner as a way to get him going. If the shots aren't dropping they can go to someone else or abandon the play altogether.
Defense: Contain Melsahn Basabe
I've been on the Basabe bandwagon since September and I had him as one of my sleeper picks for this year. He has exceeded all expectations with an All-Big Ten Freshman campaign, becoming one of the best rebounders and shot-blockers in the conference. Even before the season I felt that, with the departure of Raymar Morgan, MSU was going to have problems with powerful, athletic power forwards, and Basabe, Trevor Mbakwe, Rick Jackson and others have borne this out.
What makes Basabe so dangerous is that he does most of his damage without needing to have the ball in his hands or to have any plays run for him. He almost seems to be at his best when both the offense and defense are scrambling, after a missed or blocked shot, for example. Below is a typical sequence that ended with a Basabe basket of opportunity.
The first frame shows MSU in good defensive position against Iowa's half-court offense. Delvon Roe is playing the 5, patrolling the lane while keeping Basabe in sight. Adreian Payne, guarding Jarryd Cole, is circled. Iowa runs a down screen for Devyn Marble that puts Payne in no-man's-land. He tries to hedge, stepping out to meet Marble with the ball, but does not make a decisive move, leaving himself unsure whether to stay with the switch or go back to his man.
Payne opts to go back to Cole, leaving Austin Thornton way out of position trying to catch up to Marble. Roe is forced to come up to play the ball and Basabe, smelling blood in the water heads right for lane, unguarded, where Marble hits him with a bounce pass for an easy layup.
That bucket was Basabe's second straight opportunistic basket. The trip before he had muscled Delvon Roe out of the paint to get an offensive rebound and put-back. He finished with a team-leading 13 points on 9 shots, as well as 4 boards and a block, despite foul trouble and poor free-throw shooting (1-5). MSU's CMB plan (Contain Melsahn Basabe) has to include keeping a body on him at all times. The only Spartan who can match Basabe's size and athleticism is Roe, who should spend most of his defensive minutes on this assignment. Additionally, as this play showed, Payne should probably be allowed to play the 5 on defense, freeing Roe or Green up to stick to Basabe and keeping Payne off the perimeter, where defensive lapses like this one have resulted in limited minutes for him.
Defense: In Transition
Iowa's half-court offense is not a thing of beauty, and hasn't been all season. It sports the conference's worst efficiency, worst turnover percentage and second-worst three-point percentage at under 30%. But they thrive on chaos, as this game illustrated. Despite losing by 19 they matched or beat MSU in points off turnovers, second-chance points and fast-break points. If they hadn't clanked all 12 of their threes, this could have been a very tight game indeed. Iowa beat MSU in transition several times in this game, as the following sequence illustrates.

As the sequence begins, Iowa has just secured a defensive rebound after a Lucas drive misfired. All five Iowa players are at or below the free-throw line when the ball is secured and MSU has one player (Sherman) back on defense out of the frame and everyone else in reasonable proximity to an Iowa player. But by the second frame Iowa has sprinted out, leaving Lucas and Roe behind as they execute a four-on-three break. Summers, circled in red, is getting back but is not attempting to play a man or the ball. Bryce Cartwright is about to take advantage, charging down the middle of the floor, as he did repeatedly in this game.
In the third frame, as Cartwright crosses half court, Summers has still not attacked the ball, taken a man or tried to step into a passing lane. With full freedom of action Cartwright fires a low bounce pass to May, who accelerates past Sherman for the layup. Though Summers at least made an effort to get back, he never affected the play, which was essentially a 3-on-2 break.
Iowa, clearly, is an energy team. They score when they're getting second chances, pushing the ball in transition, forcing turnovers and generally keeping things at a frenetic pace. Things have certainly changed from the Lickliter era. If MSU can continue to take advantage of their size on offense and show more energy of their own on defense, they stand a good chance of winning this one and keeping their tournament streak alive. A failure to match Iowa's effort, and some better luck on jumpshots for the Hawkeyes, could put the Spartans in a very uncomfortable and unfamiliar position indeed.
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We have to win
Christ, they’re ahead on aggregate points for the first two games. Being swept by UM is bad enough, but losing to Iowa on Aggregate? No way! Roll the Hawks!!
Thoroughly enjoyed the breakdown
I’m putting on my optimist hat and feeling a Spartan victory tomorrow, followed by a game against Purdue where they put together their best game of the season and narrowly win. After that, I think they’ll be out of gas against Wisconsin, but they will have done enough to secure another NCAA bid.
Finally, someone noticed !
Great article Con-T. This Spartan team has been desparate for another offensive weapon to go along with Kalin Lucas all season but the efforts & skill set of Garrick Sherman has gone completely unnoticed by the MSU coaches and 90% of the media. In the last 9 games, Garrick Sherman is 14/17 from the field….that’s 82.4% for heaven’s sake….and Draymond is the only guy who can, or will, pass him the ball. It’s ridiculous & pathetic, not to mention frustrating to watch. Meanwhile, Coach Izzo says, “we got good looks but just couldn’t make any shots” or “its tough playing from behind, trying to dig out of a hole, and we’re missing lay-ups”….really Tom ? You think ? Here’s a novel idea, maybe the guy who is shooting 82% should be taking more of the shots ! At the very least he should be on the floor more than 12 minutes a game and involved in the offense every possession. He is without question the best screener on the team which sets Kalin (msu’s most prolific scorer) up for success with his lethal jumpshot or terrific speed on the drive. Its basketball 101, play inside-out using Sherman & Nix & Roe to establish dominance in the paint and then kick it to the perimeter. Sherman has demonstrated unselfishness and great vision on several occasions with his ability to skip passes to set shooters when he draws the double team. Nix has shown his passing skills as well and Roe has 16 assists in the last 5 games. Why MSU continues to live & die with the outside jumpshot makes no sense when they have the ability to score inside like they did vs Iowa on 3/2 & OSU on 2/15. Besides, we all know Summers is limited to being a great spot up shooter and has struggled this year. Those uncontested spot up shots are there if you start with the inside game and shrink the defense, but conversely, if Summers is guarded closely and has to create off the dribble it’s not going to happen.
In fairness
14/17 is pretty easy to do when it’s all from six inches away. And teams are working hard at denying post entry and forcing us to shoot from outside. Hit a couple of those shots and they have to respect it much more, which makes it that much easier to go inside.
I've got this terrible pain in all the diodes down my left-hand side.
Bradley-Terry rankings for college football and basketball: because there aren't enough computer rankings already.
That's not to say I wouldn't love to see us get it in there more.
But it’s never just as easy as “throw it inside”; we’ve picked up a lot of turnovers that way too (especially the OSU game).
I've got this terrible pain in all the diodes down my left-hand side.
Bradley-Terry rankings for college football and basketball: because there aren't enough computer rankings already.
The problem is Sherman's offensive game is light years ahead of his defense
He’s a defensive liability against big men with any type of physicality, and gets shoved out of the way easily. He should stand up better against Iowa, since they don’t really have a strong offensive post guy.
I do like Sherman’s offensive game – he has great hands and touch around the basket, and we need to feed him the ball more often, instead of settling for long jumpers from Lucas, Summers, & Company.
I think if we beat Iowa, we’ll be in the dance, regardless of what happens against Purdue (I don’t expect a win there – Purdue is on another level than MSU)
Ceterum autem censeo, Iowa esse delendam.
He also seems like a turnover machine, and has trouble getting open for passes at times
Seems like he has the ball bounce off his hands more than anyone else on the team, and it also seems like Green is the only one able to feed him. Whether this is bad vision on the guards or difficulty in getting open for a typical guard is up for debate.
Schadenfreude ist die schoenste Freude
Nice analysis (You did Luke Winn proud).
The upshot of all this is the importance of a third scorer. I think we’re fine if Summers and Green both show up for the same game (would’ve been a different outcome in A Squared if Green hadn’t been nicked up, I’ll wager), with Lucas getting his points pretty much whenever he wants. I still look at the post scoring on this team as bonus material, although Nix has brought a solid scoring presence against their front line in both games. For the future, we will need at least one, and probably two of our bigs to become reliable scoring options with their back to the basket, a la Paul Davis or Z Randolph (bring back Pig Miller!).
I’m still not convinced we can play solid enough interior defense to make a deep tournament run (or even get past Purdue, although that’s one of the keys there), but keeping the ‘Hawks from scoring off their perimeter shooting is a key difference between the two games in Iowa City and EL. Get that right, and we’ve got a chance, even if Cole and Basabe both get points in the paint.
One more thought, then I’m done for the night. Anybody remember that Jud was known as one of the best teachers of the jump shot in history (Skiles, Sam Vincent, Respert et al.)? We need to get him in and school some of these guys in the summer! Go Green—pound your hand on the podium! “We’re not dead yet!”
also in fairness
Uhh SpartanDan, you might want to re-watch the msu-um game from last Sat. Apparently 6 inches away, as you put it, isn’t so easy to do as witnessed by Green’s 3 missed lay-ups. Furthermore, Sherman’s 14/17 includes many difficult shots including a beautiful 7’ jumphook on Jujuan Johnson (bigtens best post defender) at the beginning of the Purdue game in EL. Nix has shown incredible footwork & low post moves in the 2nd half of the season also (smoked Lauderdale at Ohio State). Teams are not working hard at denying post entry, MSU is just limited to 1 guy who can make the entry pass. Green consistently squares up in a triple threat when he receives the ball in the high post and looks inside. None of the guards do, they’re too busy looking for a shot. The bigs are unbelievable wide open on the roll following setting a high ball screen for the guards on several occasions but are never given the pass for the easy score. The osu game was a glaring example of that. Sherman could have posted a billboard in the lane on 2 of his rolls after the screen.
A agree, but...
I agree that Sherman does seem to be our best scorer with the ball in his hands around the rim compared to Nix and Payne. However, I think there are 2 factors that limit his minutes versus the other two guys:
1. His hands aren’t as good. I think he drops or fails to catch about 1/3 of the passes to him. This is even worse if the pass is high and he has to reach for it. He’s also not as good a rebounder as Nix and Payne.
2. He gets out muscled a lot. He gets pushed out of position more than the other two and is therefore less likely to get the ball.
I guess the real question is what would better: Getting the ball to Sherman for almost certain scores? Or getting the ball to Nix / Payne twice as often as Sherman, but for a much less likely score?
Of course, as you pointed out, someone’s got to pass the ball to them to begin with, and Draymond seems to be the only guy who’s any good at that.
Also, he's a terrible FT shooter
Which could be a huge liability if other teams try to exploit that fact.
He’s taken 38 more FGs this season that FTs, but only missed 2 more FGs than FTs. As crafty as the guy is around the hoop, I imagine it has to give Izzo special ulcers to have someone who is such a liability on both D & the line in games in crucial situations.
Screens and the post
Something that’s become fairly predictable is the MSU ball-handler attempting to use the high ball screen as a decoy. The screen is set, the ball-handler makes a slight move toward the screen to force the defender to think about what he’s going to have to do (or even start to get around the screen, which would be the best-case scenario), then the ball-handler takes off in the other direction so the screen isn’t used (at least directly). I like this move, but it’s only effective if sprinkled in at a far less frequent rate than is currently being “sprinkled” in at. Seems like this is the case far more often than not, and once the defense relies on that, there’s no point in continuing to try to use it. It’s frustrating to watch.
As for feeding the post, I agree that it’s tougher than just throwing it inside, but our guards aren’t even looking for the opportunity to get it down low. Con-T nailed it here:
In the first frame you can see Draymond Green anticipating, and waiting for, Sherman to establish post position. Many of the other Spartans give up on the post feed when it’s not there immediately. Green keeps his dribble alive, so the defender has to give him enough space to make the pass…
There’s just no patience on the part of our guards for that post position to get established. If it’s not painfully obvious that it’s established then it doesn’t even register on their radar. Green looks for it because he works for that position (that used to be his game, exclusively) as part of his game, so he has a better intuitive feel for what’s not yet there but is developing. I’d just like to see much more of a concerted effort to get inside, and to do it early and often. I think that would throw opponents a bit because that part of our offense has been so nonexistent all year.
Tonight's going to be a good night.
Agreed and it's so unfortunate
and seems like a correctable issue regarding feeding the post. So often it seems like just after the wing or guard passes away the post finally gets position, just a few more moments of patience and ball fakes and a bounce pass into the post would be there. When that happens it creates shots, cuts, drives, fouls…we don’t have dominant bigs but I think they’re good enough to feed to get that balance. Then again we really struggled with the weak side doubling in the UM game and if I were coaching Iowa I’d be doing that if in fact we feed the post. This is where our bigs need to channel George Mikan and face up with ball fakes, step through’s and drop steps!
by Drew Perkins on Mar 10, 2011 8:50 AM CST up reply actions
Our Bigs
The problem with all of our bigs is that only one of them Payne can face up and knock down a jump shot, but does it with no consistency. Sherman has to develop that and get stronger so he can play some defense. It also hurts Sherman and Nix on D that they have a combine 10 inch vertical jump. I think if Sherman gets stronger he might be able to to turn into a poor mans Suton. However, the sky is the limit for Payne so he should get the majority of the minutes next year. It also hurts that none of our guards consistently hit jump shots.
Just thought I would also add this how BAD did Delvon Roe look against Michigan…he made a cancer paitent 23 whoever that scrub was look like Hakeem down low.
Man what a year…best perimeter defender and 3 point shooter kicked off the team, best distributor of the rock and assist leader kicked off the team, Lucas at 50 % half the year, Summers goes MIA ALL YEAR, and none of our Bigs really took the next step with their games and Draymond gave us is best Rasheeed chillen by the 3 point line performance most of the year. Excuse me while I go puke in a trash can….
You've got to be kidding me...
I’ve come to understand that this blog serves as an arena to vent frustration with player performance (whether the site managers like it or not), but to call Delvon Roe out like that is absurd. He has poured his heart and soul into this team. All season long he has been one of the few bright spots on this team defensively. He has made the most of an unfortunate situation with his knee injuries, and has proven to be one of the most selfless players of the Izzo era. Perhaps he did have an off game against Michigan. But a few buckets scored by Evan Smotrycz hardly garners the need to point out “how BAD” he looked. I’ll agree that he has had better games defensively (like, say, when he locked down 1st team All Big Ten member Jon Leuer), but I would never think to make THAT the topic I point out when referencing his performance on Saturday. That out-of-nowhere block he had on Zack Novak looked pretty BAD, eh? How about that driving lay-up in the last few minutes as the shot-clock was winding down and nobody else seemed to want the ball? I think Spartan fans are lucky to have a player like Delvon Roe on their team, and even on one knee I would not think twice (nor will I be surprised) about his ability to shut down Melsahn Basabe tonight.
Agreed
Tonight's going to be a good night.
by Spartalytical on Mar 10, 2011 2:37 PM CST up reply actions
Con-T brings the heat
Nicely done!
The only thing missing was the Hubie Brown style commentary(‘OK now, you’re Draymond Green. You’re one of the best passers in the B10. You know how to wait for the big man to establish position")
Thanks for the visual aids. They work for Luke Winn and they work well here too.
Lots of bad things seen in those pictures that explain the current predicament.
I hope the mistakes are fixed today and hopefully beyond.
"the game is out there, and it's play or get played. That simple" - Omar
I was wonfering the same thing, since the scorebox directs here
Schadenfreude ist die schoenste Freude

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