Hello TOC, well that sucked again, but on the bright side if the pattern continues this should be a dominating win. Purdue is coming off their best win of their season, an 18 point shellacking of Indiana, but on the whole this is not a very good basketball team with a conference record of 5-7 and a total record of 15-10. As always the stats are next with the analysis coming afterwards.
This Purdue team has a 10 man rotation,6 guards and 4 forwards, with 11 players having started for at least a game, and this number has not been inflated by injuries like ours have. This Purdue team is an elite rebounding squad where during the conference season they are 1st in the B1G in total rebounds per game, Offensive rebounds per game, and they are 2nd in rebound percentage, assist percentage, defensive rebounds per game, and team rebounds per game. As for negatives they have a horrible team free throw percentage of 66.1% in conference play, they have only made 65 threes during conference play and they have a team shooting efficiency of 99.1.
We will start with the backcourt and T. Johnson, Senior, who leads the team in minutes. He is not very efficient with his shots, only shoots 57% from the free throw line, but does shoot 38% from 3, has good assist and rebounding numbers while also not fouling. Next in minutes is R. Johnson, Sophomore, who is only a slightly more efficient shooter than his brother, but shoots nowhere near as many threes and is at least a 68% free thrower. He is not a good rebounder, but has the best assist numbers on the team. Going by the last two conference games the final starter will be Carter, Senior transfer from Seattle University, who only shoots 65% from the three point line and 30% from three which is not good for a 6-0 pg. On the plus side he is a good d rebounder, has good assist numbers, and has the highest steal % on the team.
Next while there are 2 starting frontcourt players, it all begins and ends with Hammons. Hammons has all the talent in the world to take over games by himself, but there always seems to be times where he mentally checks himself out and becomes invisible. He has an o rating fewer than 100 and is only a 67% foul shooter. He is an elite rebounder and blocker, but also leads the team in turnovers. The final starter is Peck, Senior transfer from Cornell, who doesn’t shoot often, is a 52% free throw shooter and 34% three point shooter thus far, but is a great rebounder for his size.
The first person off the bench is Smotherman, Freshman forward, who is the most efficient shooter on the team even though he does not shoot threes and shoots fts at 60%. He is an ok rebounder but also has pretty high foul numbers. Next off the bench is Stephens, Freshman guard, who takes most of his shots from 3 where he makes around 37%, and in a change of pace is one of two players on Purdue who shoots fts over 70% and he is at 82%. He is a bad rebounder for his size and position however. Next is Scott, Freshman guard, who is the least efficient shooter on the team and is another guard who does not shoot threes, but is the other player who shoots fts above 70% and he is at 75%. He is a good rebounder as well as having good assist numbers. Next is Davis, Sophomore guard, He is an ok shooter, even though he is not a good three point shooter. He is a good rebounder though as well as having ok assist numbers as well. The final rotation player is Simpson, Freshman forward, whose only real plus is his rebounding. Finally we have Carroll, Senior forward, who is not part of the main rotation but could see some minutes. He does not shoot often but is very efficient and is an ok rebounder.
All in all, if the pattern holds this should be another nice bounce back win for MSU. I feel that one of the major battles will be rebounding, and Dawson’s absence will really hurt in this one. If MSU is able to keep it somewhat close I’ll take that as a win. Even with all this Purdue is not a good shooting team and they are a really bad free throw shooting team which will help when Purdue is inexplicably in the bonus with ten minutes left in a half. Still I think MSU will hopefully be pissed after that last game and show Purdue who the best team in the B1G is. Go Green!