statistical-analysis Stories - The Only Colors
The Season in Review: Preventing Points Edition
If the story on offense was "failure to improve," the story on defense was "anticipated decline": table.tableizer-table {border: 1px solid #CCC; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px;} .tableizer-table td {padding: 4px; margin: 3px; border: 1px solid #ccc;} .tableizer-table...
The 2010 Big Ten Basketball Season in Groovy Chart Form
We had some fun with this a couple years ago, so I thought I'd take another crack at it. Bulleted explanation/caveats: The charts below show game-by-game offensive and defensive efficiency numbers for each Big Ten team in conference play this year. (Efficiency is points scored/allowed per 100...
Your PORPAG-Based All-Big Ten Basketball Teams
Original post on Points Over Replacement Per Adjusted Game (PORPAG) is here. Mid-conference-season numbers are here. Big picture concept/caveats: As a refresher, this stat is an attempt to measure the marginal points per game a player contributes to his team on offense above what a...
Don't read this post
Read the one below it. There's a technical glitch that won't allow me to add the here's-why-I-bumped-it paragraph. Here's that paragraph: [Bumped. Wow. FanPosters stepping up big time this week. Was totalling planning on writing a post like this one some time in the next few days. 500 bonus...
Do Tom Izzo teams get better as the season goes on?
[Note: Post has been updated with TOC-produced scatterplots at the bottom.] The Duke Blue Devils tend to play less efficiently as the conference season goes on: The Michigan State Spartans perform pretty evenly across the conference season: (HT: Eamonn Brennan. Note: The slight downward slope...
The most important statistic in basketball (and how it's killing us)
One of the great strengths of four-factors analysis is that it illustrates how important basketball skills other than shooting the ball are to playing successful basketball. Taken together, limiting turnovers, crashing the offensive glass, and getting to the free throw line can more than offset a...
Who's been dying to see those PORPAG numbers?
[This is not so much a real post as a blockquote/bulletpoint/numbers dump. This is what you get for showing an interest in my rigged-up statistical inventions. Appropriate given that SparanDan helped invent PORPAG.] Original post on Points Over Replacement Per Adjusted Game (PORPAG) is here. Big...
The road ahead
With 29 of 99 regular season Big Ten games now in the books, the conference standings look downright smashing from a Spartan perspective: |------CONFERENCE-------| |--------OVERALL--------|STANDINGS W-L Pct PF PA W-L Pct PF PA--------- ...
Tempo-Free Overanalysis: The Sequel
Last night, I overanalyzed MSU's individual tempo-free numbers. Tonight, I'll overanalyze the team-level numbers. (The tempo-free primer is here, in case you missed it.) On Offense The team's adjusted offensive efficiency of 114.6 (23rd nationally) is right in line with last season's figure of...
It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year
Why is it the most wonderful time of the year? Well, among other reasons, because individual tempo-free numbers are up at KenPom! It's obviously still very early--with just 400 minutes of basketball under the belts of the 2009-10 Spartan basketball team (and only 120 of those against...
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