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2015 Big Ten PORPAG Leaders

Which Big Ten basketball players performed at the highest levels on offense this year?

By KJ@theonlycolors
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Points Over Replacement Per Adjusted Game (PORPAG):

--Estimates the average number of points a player has produced above "replacement level"--i.e. what the 10th guy on an average team would get you if you had to use him instead--in a typical game.

--Like all basketball statistics, occurs within the context of a team dynamic (particularly true for low-usage guys).

--Tells you absolutely nothing about a player's defensive performance.

This is conference-only data pulled from KenPom.com; minutes percentage of 40% is the qualifying threshold. Replacement level is set at an offensive rating of 88; pace is set at 62. Data from previous conference seasons: 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014. Mid-season data for 2015 is here.

Rank Player Team Yr ORtg %Poss %Min PORPAG
1 Frank Kaminsky Wisconsin Sr 130.5 29.3 80.4 6.21
2 D'Angelo Russell Ohio St. Fr 115.0 30.9 88.6 4.58
3 Aaron White Iowa Sr 128.6 22.4 80.8 4.56
4 Kevin Yogi Ferrell Indiana Jr 122.7 22.3 91.4 4.39
5 Sam Dekker Wisconsin Jr 124.8 22.2 81.4 4.12
6 Nigel Hayes Wisconsin So 122.1 21.3 83.7 3.77
7 Travis Trice Michigan St. Sr 113.5 28.4 78.9 3.54
8 Jarrod Uthoff Iowa Jr 122.0 19.8 81.2 3.39
9 Melo Trimble Maryland Fr 110.1 26.1 85.2 3.05
10 Denzel Valentine Michigan St. Jr 111.7 25.4 79.5 2.97
11 D.J. Newbill Penn St. Sr 104.1 31.3 90.4 2.82
12 Bronson Koenig Wisconsin So 120.5 16.9 81.5 2.78
13 Andre Hollins Minnesota Sr 110.1 23.4 82.6 2.65
14 Malcolm Hill Illinois So 108.9 23.9 84.8 2.63
15 Jon Octeus Purdue Sr 114.9 19.7 77.9 2.56
16 Josh Gasser Wisconsin Sr 129.6 11.1 85.4 2.44
17 Nick Zeisloft Indiana Jr 151.9 13.0 47.4 2.44
18 Spike Albrecht Michigan Jr 115.6 17.8 78.7 2.40
19 Aubrey Dawkins Michigan Fr 123.2 16.3 66.0 2.35
20 Jae'Sean Tate Ohio St. Fr 118.2 20.8 60.1 2.34
21 Tre Demps Northwestern Jr 107.4 23.6 82.4 2.34
22 Troy Williams Indiana So 108.0 26.0 70.4 2.27
23 Dez Wells Maryland Sr 103.4 30.4 76.3 2.21
24 Rapheal Davis Purdue Jr 107.7 20.2 88.6 2.19
25 Maurice Walker Minnesota Sr 108.3 24.4 67.5 2.07
26 Alex Olah Northwestern Jr 105.4 24.9 74.3 2.00
27 A.J. Hammons Purdue Jr 107.7 23.9 67.2 1.96
28 James Blackmon Indiana Fr 105.1 25.6 71.4 1.94
29 Branden Dawson Michigan St. Sr 107.0 21.7 74.0 1.89
30 Rayvonte Rice Illinois Sr 118.6 24.7 40.3 1.89
31 Gabriel Olaseni Iowa Sr 114.2 24.6 45.2 1.81
32 Myles Mack Rutgers Sr 101.4 22.7 87.6 1.65
33 Joey King Minnesota Jr 110.9 15.2 75.5 1.63
34 Bryant McIntosh Northwestern Fr 101.2 24.1 82.3 1.62
35 Matt Costello Michigan St. Jr 118.7 16.8 50.6 1.62
36 Kendrick Nunn Illinois So 99.1 22.2 86.3 1.32
37 Vince Edwards Purdue Fr 105.5 18.9 62.2 1.28
38 Jake Layman Maryland Jr 100.7 21.3 75.1 1.26
39 Zak Irvin Michigan So 97.4 23.6 89.2 1.23
40 Shavon Shields Nebraska Jr 96.5 26.5 86.4 1.21
41 Sam Thompson Ohio St. Sr 100.5 17.4 89.4 1.21
42 Bryn Forbes Michigan St. Jr 106.3 15.8 62.7 1.12
43 Adam Woodbury Iowa Jr 104.5 20.2 51.9 1.07
44 Anthony Clemmons Iowa Jr 111.6 15.4 47.3 1.07
45 Collin Hartman Indiana So 115.3 11.8 51.9 1.04
46 Geno Thorpe Penn St. So 100.5 20.6 61.4 0.98
47 Peter Jok Iowa So 100.8 22.4 54.2 0.96
48 Shannon Scott Ohio St. Sr 97.9 20.5 75.9 0.96
49 Nate Mason Minnesota Fr 98.6 21.3 67.8 0.95
50 Kendall Stephens Purdue So 101.3 20.6 55.2 0.94
51 Mike Gesell Iowa Jr 99.1 20.5 63.7 0.90
52 Marc Loving Ohio St. So 102.7 18.6 50.3 0.85
53 Ricky Doyle Michigan Fr 105.0 17.2 44.3 0.80
54 Robert Johnson Indiana Fr 97.5 19.1 69.2 0.78
55 Jared Nickens Maryland Fr 108.2 14.0 43.4 0.76
56 Walter Pitchford Nebraska Jr 98.8 16.6 64.7 0.72
57 Ahmad Starks Illinois Sr 96.7 21.5 60.0 0.70
58 Carlos Morris Minnesota Jr 95.7 24.2 59.5 0.69
59 Terran Petteway Nebraska Jr 91.8 32.5 87.8 0.67
60 Greg Lewis Rutgers Jr 100.5 15.1 57.4 0.67
61 Amir Williams Ohio St. Sr 102.6 15.8 44.1 0.63
62 Vic Law Northwestern Fr 96.9 20.0 54.7 0.60
63 Deandre Mathieu Minnesota Sr 95.3 18.3 70.8 0.59
64 David Rivers Nebraska Sr 103.7 12.9 45.4 0.57
65 Gavin Schilling Michigan St. So 101.6 16.5 40.9 0.57
66 Jaylon Tate Illinois So 99.3 13.7 55.6 0.53
67 Jordan Dickerson Penn St. Jr 106.0 9.7 46.3 0.50
68 Shep Garner Penn St. Fr 93.5 19.8 74.0 0.50
69 Dakota Mathias Purdue Fr 98.3 14.4 53.2 0.49
70 Nnanna Egwu Illinois Sr 94.6 14.3 77.7 0.45
71 Josh Oglesby Iowa Sr 101.4 10.6 45.2 0.40
72 Brandon Taylor Penn St. Jr 92.2 20.0 56.4 0.29
73 Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman Michigan Fr 92.8 16.8 58.7 0.29
74 Tarin Smith Nebraska Fr 92.7 16.4 48.1 0.23
75 Lourawls Nairn Michigan St. Fr 94.1 12.3 47.5 0.22
76 Richaud Pack Maryland Sr 92.7 11.7 60.4 0.21
77 Scottie Lindsey Northwestern Fr 91.2 16.4 40.8 0.13
78 Tai Webster Nebraska So 88.8 15.1 40.3 0.03
79 Ross Travis Penn St. Sr 87.3 15.6 58.8 (0.04)
80 Evan Smotrycz Maryland Sr 86.6 16.7 49.5 (0.07)
81 Junior Etou Rutgers So 86.0 14.5 69.3 (0.12)
82 Sanjay Lumpkin Northwestern So 83.0 10.4 48.1 (0.16)
83 Bishop Daniels Rutgers Jr 84.6 23.2 66.5 (0.33)
84 Kadeem Jack Rutgers Sr 85.5 27.8 76.2 (0.33)
85 Benny Parker Nebraska Jr 77.1 9.8 67.1 (0.44)

Observations:

  • Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman really messes with your column width settings.
  • Frank Kaminsky actually got better over the second half of the conference season. D'Angelo Russell, on the other hand, lost over a point of value since mid-season. Still pretty good, though.
  • Spike Albrecht jumped from #47 at mid-season to #18. Really remarkable for a player with his size (or lack thereof) to turn himself into a very efficient go-to scorer.
  • Speaking of which: Travis Trice's number is the highest for an MSU player over the last 5 seasons, beating out Draymond Green as a senior (3.35) and Gary Harris (3.30) as a sophomore. Not bad for a guy who committed to MSU as a two-star, 5'11", 160-pound player.  If Trice doesn't make the leap he did, I think we're lucky to even be on the bubble right now.
  • Denzel Valentine jumped from #17 at mid-season to #10 here. Primed for a potentially big senior season with more depth around him.
  • Nick Zeisloft just made a 3-pointer while you were reading this.  Regardless of how low your usage rate is, an offensive rating above 150 in conference play is quite something.
  • Rutgers has three starters who are below replacement value. #footprint
Just for discussion purposes, since I don't watch nearly as much non-MSU Big Ten basketball as I used to (adding some weight to nonconference play):
  • First team: Ferrell, Newbill, Russell, White, Kaminsky
  • Second team: Trice, Valentine, Dekker, Hayes, Hammons
  • Third team: Trimble, Wells, Hill, Dawson, Uthoff

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