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Making you money with (fake) MSU football bets

Let’s get our gambling pants on, gang

NCAA Football: Michigan at Michigan State Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

I’m going to Vegas this weekend (SICK humble brag, right?) and I’ve got reckless gambling on the mind.

Vegas has already spoken on the over/under for Michigan State wins, putting the line at 6.5 wins. So, before I head over to get sunburnt within 15 minutes, I’ve jotted a few fake MSU football betting ideas down. Who knows, maybe I’ll get the (liquid) courage to pitch these to a bookie while over there.

Quick betting rundown. If there’s a minus before the moneyline that’s how much money you would have to pay to win $100. For example, if the line is -140, you pay $140 to win $100 (plus your money back, of course).

If it’s a plus, that’s how much you win after betting $100. For example, if the line is +160 and you bet $100, you pay to win $160 plus your money back.

I’m not a professional handicapper, so some of these odds may be a bit wonky. Feel free to call me out in the comment section if you see one you strongly disagree with.

Alright, let’s do some fake gambling.


Over/under on games Messiah deWeaver starts: 0.5

Over (+120), Under (-130)

Danielle Duval | MLive.com

Listen, I love deWeaver unconditionally for what he did for the recruiting class and for becoming a Spartan himself. But if we see him start a game this year, one of two bad things have probably happened – Lewerke has been injured or Lewerke's play has slipped.

Again, deWeaver will likely be a great player for MSU and will likely get some snaps this year. However, will he get to show that as a starter this year?

Poll

How many games will Messiah deWeaver start this season?

This poll is closed

  • 30%
    Over .5
    (84 votes)
  • 69%
    Under .5
    (191 votes)
275 votes total Vote Now

When will MSU clinch a bowl game?

Games 6-8 (+400), Games 9-10 (+350), Games 11-12 (Even), No bowl game (Even)

Big Ten Championship Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images

The last time MSU clinched a trip to a bowl game we got the iconic picture above. When (if?) MSU punches their ticket this year is very much up for debate.

Games 6-8 are at Minnesota, home against Indiana and at Nothwestern. With a hot start, hey, I’ll gladly take that. Games 9 and 10 aren’t against slouches as the Spartans get a back-to-back Penn State-Ohio State punch. If they haven’t clinched by then, it would be hard to in those two games.

I gave games 11-12 (home against Maryland and at Rutgers High School) and “no bowl game” both even odds because that’s what Vegas is basically doing with our over/under at 6.5. They’re giving State basically a 55-60% shot at a bowl game, so this will be a dramatic finish to the season.

Poll

When will MSU clinch a bowl game?

This poll is closed

  • 21%
    Games 6-8
    (64 votes)
  • 22%
    Games 9-10
    (65 votes)
  • 39%
    Games 11-12
    (117 votes)
  • 16%
    No bowl game
    (47 votes)
293 votes total Vote Now

Over/under on number of starting freshmen/redshirt freshmen on opening day: 1.5

Over (Even), Under (Even)

@JosiahScott7 on Twitter

Does Josiah Scott actually start at cornerback? Will Noah Davis or Matt Dotson jump Matt Sokol for the newly opened tight end position? Will Kevin Jarvis bully his way onto the offensive line by early September? Any chance Hunter Rison or Cam Chambers find their way into the starting receivers unit? Who knows?

Poll

How many freshmen/redshirt freshmen will start on opening day?

This poll is closed

  • 74%
    Over 1.5
    (187 votes)
  • 25%
    Under 1.5
    (65 votes)
252 votes total Vote Now

What’s higher: LJ Scott touchdowns or Miles Bridges 21+ point games?

Scott (Even), Bridges (Even)

Michigan State v Penn State Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images

For context, LJ Scott racked up seven touchdowns last year one season after getting 11 as a freshman. On the hardwood, Bridges had eight games with at least 21 points and, big secret here, he’ll be the man next year as well.

You’ll have to wait a little bit to win (or lose) money on this one, but it will be worth it.

Poll

What will be higher: LJ Scott touchdowns or Miles Bridges 21+ point games?

This poll is closed

  • 22%
    Scott touchdowns
    (58 votes)
  • 77%
    Bridges 21+ point games
    (203 votes)
261 votes total Vote Now

Over/under on number of night games: 2.5

Over (-140) Under (+120)

NCAA Football: Oregon at Michigan State Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Last year MSU had four night games. Four. That’s wild stuff, but for a team coming off a College Football Playoff that’s what’s to be expected.

Well, after a 3-9 season, that might change. The opening night game against Bowling Green is still on Saturday for now, but it’s not out of question for it to be moved to Friday night for a seventh straight season.

Other prime candidates for night games are home against Notre Dame (feels like a given) and Penn State. On the road we might see a night game against Ohio State and apparently Michigan if they want to max out police resources in Ann Arbor that weekend.

That’s five potential games with wishful thinking, and hell, let’s throw the road game against Northwestern (originally a Friday night game) and Maryland as dark horses. But again, last season’s record won’t help.

Poll

How many night games will MSU play in?

This poll is closed

  • 41%
    Over 2.5
    (101 votes)
  • 58%
    Under 2.5
    (145 votes)
246 votes total Vote Now

Over/under on Brian Lewerke passing yards: 2,680

Over (Even), Under (Even)

NCAA Football: Michigan State at Maryland Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

That’s an obscure number, isn’t it? Well, it’s how many yards Kirk Cousins threw for in his sophomore year, and we can’t get enough of comparisons between those two. Connor Cook hit 2,755 in his sophomore year, so it might not be too crazy to see the Arizona-based gunslinger pass Cousins’ sophomore year total.

Poll

How many yards will Brian Lewerke throw for?

This poll is closed

  • 46%
    Over 2,680
    (118 votes)
  • 53%
    Under 2,680
    (134 votes)
252 votes total Vote Now

Which tight end gains the most receiving yards?

Matt Sokol (-120), Noah Davis (+130), Matt Dotson (+200) other (+300)

Michigan State v Michigan Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images

With familiar faces Jamal Lyles and Josiah Price out of the mix this is one of the most intriguing storylines of the offseason. Popular opinion has junior Matt Sokol taking the reins, but he has a solid corps of talent behind him, including the 247Sports No. 7-ranked tight end recruit Matt Dotson.

Poll

Which tight end gains the most receiving yards?

This poll is closed

  • 52%
    Matt Sokol
    (110 votes)
  • 16%
    Noah Davis
    (35 votes)
  • 24%
    Matt Dotson
    (52 votes)
  • 6%
    Other
    (13 votes)
210 votes total Vote Now

Which linebacker picks up the most tackles?

Chris Frey (-180), Andrew Dowell (-110), Shane Jones (+175), other (+200)

NCAA Football: Wisconsin at Michigan State Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Chris Frey is the heavy favorite coming into this one as he led the Spartans last year with 96 tackles, but Andrew Dowell could give him a run for his money with a more defined role this year.

Listen, I don’t care who wins this, I just want everyone to stay healthy this season. Please.

Poll

Which linebacker will pick up the most tackles?

This poll is closed

  • 63%
    Chris Frey
    (140 votes)
  • 26%
    Andrew Dowell
    (58 votes)
  • 3%
    Shane Jones
    (8 votes)
  • 7%
    Other
    (16 votes)
222 votes total Vote Now

Does a coordinator get fired mid-season?

Yes (+150), No (-150)

Mike Griffith | MLive.com

It’s nothing short of remarkable that last year’s coaching staff is still intact. If the season goes haywire right off the bat, we could be seeing a power move in the form of a firing.

I’m thinking this is a “no” because Dantonio has already let his offensive coordinators call 4,000 runs up the middle on first downs. What’s another 4,000, really?

Poll

Does a coordinator get fired mid-season?

This poll is closed

  • 19%
    Yes
    (50 votes)
  • 80%
    No
    (205 votes)
255 votes total Vote Now

Will MSU win a road game on the final play where they don’t have the ball and are down by two points?

Yes (+infinity), No (-50,000)

NCAA Football: Michigan State at Michigan Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Just in case everyone forgot that happened.